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| City of Milwaukee |
Until a few years ago, travellers driving south down
Interstate 81 from New York state would be welcomed to Pennsylvania with a sign
reading "America starts here." The sign has gone now, but the mood,
if anything, is even more emphatic. America's smaller governments are flexing
their muscles; and devolution, which used to mean the shifting of power to the
states, now increasingly means the shifting of power to cities and townships
too.
Throughout the 1990s, the lower and more local levels
of government have won increasing importance, for several reasons. Republicans,
who have been in the ideological ascendant, have promoted the idea of
government that is smaller, more efficient and closer to the people. The
Supreme Court has ruled increasingly in favour of states' rights, and the
passage of time has blunted the suspicion that those rights are a code-word for
bigotry and resistance to change. It helps that education and crime-fighting,
which mostly belong to the states and cities, have became national obsessions.
And some tasks have been seized by states because the federal government has
been only too keen to get rid of them. States like Wisconsin were experimenting
with welfare reform long before, in August 1996, a new law allowed all the
states to make their own welfare policy, subject to broad federal directives.
Welfare benefits are now several times higher in
generous states, such as Vermont, than they are in places like Wisconsin.
Wisconsinians take pride in shortening their welfare rolls and seeing those who
were previously dependent doing a proper job: Milwaukee alone cut its welfare
rolls by more than 10,000 in the first six months of the state's new programme.
Vermonters, however, have a different sort of social conscience. Although the
state's income per head is modest, a large majority of its people feel that
welfare benefits should be kept comparatively generous. In this area (and in
others, such as a state's tolerance or non-tolerance of handguns), devolution
offers Americans a real choice of government. If they dislike the way things
are managed where they are, they can move-sometimes only a little way-to a
place where the philosophy is more congenial.
Yet welfare may be the last big devolution of federal
power to the states. Congress and the federal government no longer talk about
giving the states block grants to pursue their own policies in any other field;
and, perhaps more to the point, state governors are not asking for them.
Although the states remain bustling laboratories for different approaches to
social policy, the real action has moved even further down through the layers of
government, to innovative officials in the cities. Devolution has a tendency to
keep on devolving; and, just as Washington is eager to off-load problem-solving
to the states, so the states themselves are busy dumping responsibilities on to
the next level of government.
America's cities are the repositories of most of its
social problems: they have the highest crime rates, the worst schools, the most
intractable levels of joblessness. Rather than trying to reincorporate cities
into their richer outlying regions (an almost impossible task), states are now
leaving cities to get on with it. On crime and education in particular, mayors
and police chiefs are seizing the initiative, despite foot-dragging in Congress
or state legislatures. Thus the mayor of Chicago can take over the public
schools, the mayor of Milwaukee can introduce school vouchers, the mayor of New
Orleans can bring in a curfew, and the mayor of New York can pose as a tough
marshal for putting up spending on community policing.
The fact is that, if governors can be bolder than
Congress or the president, mayors can be bolder even than governors. A governor
seeking to reform education, for example, has to struggle to equalise spending,
which is usually based on property taxes, across the whole state. In New
Jersey, Governor Christine Whitman has just introduced a law to set state-wide
teaching standards and to narrow the gap between school resources for rich and
poor children. Although the plan is slowly taking effect, it is still said to
be inadequately financed.
At federal level, such broad schemes are impossible;
Mr Clinton has felt obliged to make his proposed national school tests
voluntary, since mandatory tests would be labelled a federal power-grab. Even
at state level, governors can still be accused of riding roughshod over the
sentiments of local school boards. At city level, however, with only one school
district to consider, politicians and parents may be more easily persuaded to
give the new ideas a chance.
The relentless movement of government downwards has
been helped by a recovering economy. After years of creative accounting and
hand-to-mouth budgeting (almost all states are forbidden by their constitutions
to run deficits), they have recorded surpluses for most of the 1990s. Going into
1998, according to a report from the National Governors Association, state
budget surpluses totalled $24 billion. Tax collections are surging: the
state-local sector now collects almost the same amount as the federal
government. Some of this is being salted away, but much is being spent as the
voters desire: 31 states cut taxes in 1996. Since 1990, expenditure by state
and local government has risen 14.3% in real terms.
Meanwhile, Congress in Washington is close to
abolishing the national budget deficit, thanks to spending cuts (especially in
defence) and cyclical shrinkage. And devolution affects government employment,
too. State and local government also employ 1.8m more people now than in 1990,
whereas the federal government employs 345,000 fewer. Whatever else devolution
means, it does not mean quantitatively less government.
The spending trends, of course, may prove temporary.
Defence can suddenly cost more, if the need arises; an economic downturn may
set local governments howling for more federal money. Yet even then the states
and cities could show their independent spirit, raising money by privatising
assets to a greater or lesser degree. Indianapolis, which has privatised 75
city services ranging from golf courses to repairing potholes, is now a magnet
for mayors seeking to do the same.
If the endless devolution of power has a drawback, it
is one of accountability. A government that is closer to the people is not
necessarily more honest or more transparent. As the police department in
Philadelphia discovered, community policing may also provide more opportunities
for kickbacks and for creative partnerships between policemen and criminals. As
many reforming mayors have found, it may be harder to uncover corruption inside
a town hall than inside the federal government.
Nonetheless, devolution is a healthy and abiding
tendency. To de-emphasise the federal government is to resurrect one of the
original principles of American politics. The nation was conceived as a union
of 13 pre-existing states. The concept of national citizenship, as distinct
from state citizenship, did not even exist until 1787, 11 years after
independence. In the early days, the states showed their distinctive
personalities by what they did about slavery or the enfranchisement of
non-citizens, rather than welfare policy or the length of prison terms. But
whatever the issues, the taste for autonomy has endured and now seems, once
again, to be growing.
Nor is Washington keen to reassert its old prominence.
Federal spending is set to keep falling, at least during the remaining life of
this Congress or until the federal deficit disappears, an event confidently
planned for 2002. At times, Congress even seems to want to promote the
individuality of states. On December 2nd, Mr Clinton approved a plan to replace
the existing 25-cent piece with one that will display any one of 50 logos from
the 50 states. The new coin will commemorate both age-old pride and a new
American decision to move back to smaller and more intimate government.

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